Tropical Storm Rachel Tracker
RACHEL SLIGHTLY STRONGER
Tropical Storm Rachel is located 255 miles (410 km) S of Acapulco, Mexico and is moving WNW at 7 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 km/h). The map shows its observed track, official NHC forecast track and cone, and coastal watches and warnings.
Rachel watches and warnings
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
- Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
Rachel forecast discussion and outlook
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 100.0 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is expected to remain well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. However, tropical storm conditions are possible along the coast of Mexico within the tropical storm watch area by Tuesday.
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicates that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane on Tuesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
Rachel official forecast track
| Forecast | Valid (UTC) | Position | Winds | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | Sep 28, 2026 00:00 UTC | 12.8°N 99.5°W | 40 mph | Tropical Storm |
| +3 h | Sep 28, 2026 03:00 UTC | 12.9°N 99.8°W | 40 mph | Tropical Storm |
| +12 h | Sep 28, 2026 12:00 UTC | 13.3°N 100.9°W | 50 mph | Tropical Storm |
| +24 h | Sep 29, 2026 00:00 UTC | 14.2°N 102.6°W | 65 mph | Tropical Storm |
| +36 h | Sep 29, 2026 12:00 UTC | 15.2°N 104.3°W | 70 mph | Tropical Storm |
| +48 h | Sep 30, 2026 00:00 UTC | 16.4°N 106.0°W | 80 mph | Cat 1 hurricane |
| +60 h | Sep 30, 2026 12:00 UTC | 17.5°N 107.2°W | 90 mph | Cat 1 hurricane |
| +72 h | Oct 1, 2026 00:00 UTC | 18.4°N 108.2°W | 100 mph | Cat 2 hurricane |
| +96 h | Oct 2, 2026 00:00 UTC | 19.1°N 109.0°W | 100 mph | Cat 2 hurricane |
| +120 h | Oct 3, 2026 00:00 UTC | 20.0°N 109.7°W | 100 mph | Cat 2 hurricane |
Hazards from Rachel: wind, rain, surge and surf
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday.
SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will begin affecting portions of southern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Source: NHC Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 4A, issued 1200 AM CST Mon Sep 28 2026. Official products: public advisory · forecast discussion · NHC graphics.
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Frequently asked questions
Where is Tropical Storm Rachel now?
As of 1200 AM CST Mon Sep 28 2026, the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near 13.2°N, 100.0°W, about 255 miles (410 km) S of Acapulco, Mexico and 490 miles (790 km) SE of Manzanillo, Mexico. It is moving WNW at 7 mph.
How strong is Tropical Storm Rachel?
Tropical Storm Rachel has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 km/h), making it a tropical storm. The minimum central pressure is 1001 mb.
Where is Tropical Storm Rachel going?
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 100.0 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel is expected to remain well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. However, tropical storm conditions are possible along the coast of Mexico within the tropical storm watch area by Tuesday.
Are there hurricane watches or warnings for Rachel?
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula.
When is the next Rachel update?
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.
Hurricane categories
| Category | Sustained winds | Knots | Expected damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Category 1 | 74–95 mph | 64–82 kt | Very dangerous winds will produce some damage |
| Category 2 | 96–110 mph | 83–95 kt | Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage |
| Category 3 (major) | 111–129 mph | 96–112 kt | Devastating damage will occur |
| Category 4 (major) | 130–156 mph | 113–136 kt | Catastrophic damage will occur |
| Category 5 (major) | 157 mph or higher | 137 kt or higher | Catastrophic damage will occur |